Estepona 1-1 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.11/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.22
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
153 · 58% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-1
AWAY Deportiva Minera
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona and Deportiva Minera shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Estepona had 40% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 60%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Deportiva Minera?

Estepona 1-1 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Estepona 36%, draw 27%, Deportiva Minera 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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