Salernitana 1-2 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
10%
4.74
X/2
17%
6.55
X/X
16%
3.75
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
11%
5.21
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.42/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.89
+24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.9 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
224 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.07.2020 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
23.11.2019 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
18.04.2015 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTC
07.12.2014 Salernitana Salernitana 3-2 HT 0-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
1-2
AWAY Juve Stabia
0.85 xG 1.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 22
34 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia edged past Salernitana 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Juve Stabia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salernitana had 53% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 47%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.85 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Salernitana and 1.50 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Juve Stabia?

Salernitana 1-2 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 35%, draw 31%, Juve Stabia 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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