Palermo vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palermo v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals
Palermo vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Catanzaro
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Palermo
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Palermo
İTCK
0-0
HT 0-0
Catanzaro
İTC
1-2
HT 1-1
Catanzaro
İTC
Palermo 1-2 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics
Catanzaro squeezed past Palermo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Palermo had 43% of the ball to Catanzaro's 57%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.15 to 0.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Palermo.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Palermo and 1.00 for Catanzaro.
What was the final score of Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Palermo 1-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Palermo 48%, draw 29%, Catanzaro 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.