KRC Genk II 1-3 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 24% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
20%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 61%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.58/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.69
+57% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 46.4
16.4 Crosses 33.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
358 Passes 165
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-2 HT 1-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
08.12.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-1 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
1-3
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.42 xG 2.08
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
372 Passes 158
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden got the better of KRC Genk II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 65% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 35%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.42 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Patro Eisden led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KRC Genk II and 1.50 for Patro Eisden.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Patro Eisden?

KRC Genk II 1-3 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 22%, draw 23%, Patro Eisden 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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