Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-5 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.62
Over 2.5
55%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
58%
-13.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
42%
+13.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.8pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 62%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+49% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
216 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-4 HT 0-2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
26.10.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 6-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
01.06.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
19.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.07.2019 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-5
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv swept aside Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 44% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 56%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 2.33 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-5 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - Cup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 24%, draw 26%, Botev Plovdiv 50%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Over 2.5
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BULK More Bulgaria - Cup
15 Dec 2024
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