Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-4 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.98/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.16
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -18%
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
213 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 6-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
01.06.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
19.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.07.2019 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0-4
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv swept aside Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Botev Plovdiv made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 54% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 46%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 2.00 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-4 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 33%, draw 27%, Botev Plovdiv 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Apr 2024
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