Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-1 HT 0-0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv v CSKA 1948 Sofia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0W-2D-1L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
07.06.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
22.04.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and CSKA 1948 Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 60% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.67 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 43%, draw 27%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5
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