Djoliba 0-0 Sagrada Esperança — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
7%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 35% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.98
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.4
X/1
22%
3.62
X/2
6%
11.65
X/X
17%
5.29
2/1
3%
24.7
2/2
6%
9.85
2/X
3%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.2pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djoliba EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagrada Esperança EU Bookmakers 19%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djoliba
0-0
AWAY Sagrada Esperança
1.14 xG 0.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
280 Passes 152
71% Pass Accuracy 58%
21 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Djoliba vs Sagrada Esperança
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djoliba and Sagrada Esperança fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Djoliba carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Djoliba had 60% of the ball to Sagrada Esperança's 40%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.14 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Djoliba vs Sagrada Esperança?

Djoliba 0-0 Sagrada Esperança in the CAF Champions League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djoliba vs Sagrada Esperança?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djoliba win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Djoliba 59%, draw 27%, Sagrada Esperança 14%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Djoliba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djoliba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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