Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Raja Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.07
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.35
X/1
13%
3.6
X/2
13%
11.0
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
6%
9.67
2/X
5%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
1-0
AWAY Raja Casablanca
0.77 xG 0.05
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
490 Passes 261
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 6
8 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Raja Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns nicked a narrow win over Raja Casablanca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 63% of the ball to Raja Casablanca's 37%, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 0.77 to 0.05.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Raja Casablanca?

Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Raja Casablanca in the CAF Champions League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Raja Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 54%, draw 23%, Raja Casablanca 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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