Semen Padang 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 59%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.74/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.54
-32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Semen Padang
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
28.11.2019 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 1-1 Semen Padang Semen Padang ENDL1
POST-MATCH Semen Padang vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Semen Padang and Persebaya Surabaya fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Persebaya Surabaya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Semen Padang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Semen Padang 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 28%, draw 24%, Persebaya Surabaya 48%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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