Bali United 3-1 Persija Jakarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
0.95/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.36
-32% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Persija Jakarta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
30.03.2024 Bali United Bali United 1-0 HT 0-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
15.01.2023 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 3-2 HT 1-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
23.07.2022 Bali United Bali United 1-0 HT 1-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
06.03.2022 Bali United Bali United 2-1 HT 1-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
25.11.2021 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
19.09.2019 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-1 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bali United
3-1
AWAY Persija Jakarta
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bali United vs Persija Jakarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United saw off Persija Jakarta 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bali United had 41% of the ball to Persija Jakarta's 59%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bali United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bali United and 0.67 for Persija Jakarta.

What was the final score of Bali United vs Persija Jakarta?

Bali United 3-1 Persija Jakarta in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs Persija Jakarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bali United 41%, draw 28%, Persija Jakarta 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✗ Under 2.5
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