Polokwane City 1-0 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
5.07
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.39/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.14
-14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
12.0 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 10
13 Corners 2
19.10.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 2-3 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
1-0
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.96 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
237 Passes 322
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City nicked a narrow win over Marumo Gallants 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polokwane City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Polokwane City had 44% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 56%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.96 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants?

Polokwane City 1-0 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polokwane City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 45%, draw 28%, Marumo Gallants 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polokwane City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polokwane City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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