Polokwane City 2-3 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - League Cup, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.69
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
2-3
AWAY Marumo Gallants
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 10
13 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants nicked a narrow win over Polokwane City 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Polokwane City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Polokwane City had 53% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 47%, shots finished 20-20.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants?

Polokwane City 2-3 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - League Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polokwane City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 45%, draw 25%, Marumo Gallants 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polokwane City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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