South China 5-1 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
27%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-18.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
13%
+14.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.78/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-6% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
5-1
AWAY Sham Shui Po
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH South China vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China swept aside Sham Shui Po 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, South China had 44% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 56%, shots finished 17-15.

What was the final score of South China vs Sham Shui Po?

South China 5-1 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split South China 52%, draw 21%, Sham Shui Po 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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