Shatin SA 0-1 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 37%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.11/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/2.30
-36% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Eastern District
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 0-3 HT 0-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
29.10.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-4 HT 1-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
12.03.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 4-2 HT 3-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
20.11.2022 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-0 HT 2-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
21.11.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-2 HT 2-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
0-1
AWAY Eastern District
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District squeezed past Shatin SA 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Eastern District found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shatin SA had 46% of the ball to Eastern District's 54%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Shatin SA and 2.00 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Eastern District?

Shatin SA 0-1 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 40%, draw 24%, Eastern District 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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