Eastern District 0-3 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.28
No
40%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.8pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
74%
-14.2pp
40%
BTTS No
26%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.59/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.96
+54% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Shatin SA
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-4 HT 1-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
12.03.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 4-2 HT 3-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
20.11.2022 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-0 HT 2-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
21.11.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-2 HT 2-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
0-3
AWAY Shatin SA
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA swept aside Eastern District 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shatin SA as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastern District had 47% of the ball to Shatin SA's 53%, shots finished 17-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eastern District had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Eastern District and 2.50 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Shatin SA?

Eastern District 0-3 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 27%, draw 32%, Shatin SA 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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