Citizen AA 2-2 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.5pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.46
-63% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
1W-1D-4L
AWAY South China
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2023 South China South China 1-2 HT 1-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
13.11.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-1 HT 0-1 South China South China HK2
12.12.2021 South China South China 4-0 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
01.03.2015 South China South China 1-0 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HONFK
11.05.2014 South China South China 3-2 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK1
18.01.2014 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-4 HT 1-0 South China South China HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Citizen AA
2-2
AWAY South China
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA and South China shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was South China at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Citizen AA had 48% of the ball to South China's 52%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South China led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Citizen AA and 2.33 for South China.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs South China?

Citizen AA 2-2 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated an South China win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 32%, draw 26%, South China 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South China), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South China) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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