Yuen Long 3-0 Wong Tai Sin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.9pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.1pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Wong Tai Sin EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.57/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.93
+20% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Wong Tai Sin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 1-4 HT 0-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
05.03.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-3 HT 1-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
11.12.2022 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 1-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
12.12.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 5-0 HT 2-0 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
14.03.2015 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-1 HT 0-0 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK1
02.11.2014 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 2-2 HT 0-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
3-0
AWAY Wong Tai Sin
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Wong Tai Sin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long ran out comfortable winners over Wong Tai Sin 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yuen Long as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Yuen Long had 59% of the ball to Wong Tai Sin's 41%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Yuen Long and 1.33 for Wong Tai Sin.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Wong Tai Sin?

Yuen Long 3-0 Wong Tai Sin in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Wong Tai Sin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 57%, draw 18%, Wong Tai Sin 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yuen Long), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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