Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 3-5 Feyenoord (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
64%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+10.4pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
64%
Away Win
77%
-13.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord (K) EU Bookmakers 81%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
174 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 531 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Feyenoord (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.03.2024 Feyenoord (K) Feyenoord (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
3-5
AWAY Feyenoord (K)
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 350
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Feyenoord (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord (K) beat Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Feyenoord (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 43% of the ball to Feyenoord (K)'s 57%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Feyenoord (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 3-5 Feyenoord (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Feyenoord (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 18%, draw 18%, Feyenoord (K) 64%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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