Heerenveen (K) 1-4 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
6%
+13.8pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.0pp
62%
Away Win
80%
-17.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.60/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.83
-27% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -12%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.4 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ajax (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
23% Ball Possession 77%
4 Total Shots 32
3 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.03.2024 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
14.02.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1-4
AWAY Ajax (K)
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 9
194 Passes 437
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) swept aside Heerenveen (K) 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 35% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 65%, shots finished 5-28.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Heerenveen (K) and 3.00 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 1-4 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 19%, draw 19%, Ajax (K) 62%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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