Sofapaka 1-1 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
26%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+10.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
39%
-12.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.5pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.30
+49% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leopards SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
07.11.2021 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-0 HT 1-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sofapaka
1-1
AWAY Leopards SC
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka and Leopards SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sofapaka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Sofapaka had 47% of the ball to Leopards SC's 53%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Leopards SC?

Sofapaka 1-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 42%, draw 32%, Leopards SC 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sofapaka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sofapaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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