Tusker 2-1 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 20%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.01/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.16
+76% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bidco United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
05.01.2022 Tusker Tusker 2-1 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
2-1
AWAY Bidco United
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker squeezed past Bidco United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tusker as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tusker had 44% of the ball to Bidco United's 56%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Bidco United?

Tusker 2-1 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tusker 52%, draw 29%, Bidco United 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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