Niger Tornadoes 4-1 Sunshine Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.81
No
54%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.7pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.32/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.50
-19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sunshine Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.02.2022 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
4-1
AWAY Sunshine Stars
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 25
8 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Sunshine Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes ran out comfortable winners over Sunshine Stars 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 45% of the ball to Sunshine Stars's 55%, shots finished 12-25.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Sunshine Stars?

Niger Tornadoes 4-1 Sunshine Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Sunshine Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 56%, draw 27%, Sunshine Stars 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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