Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-2 Sebat Gençlik SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.78
Over Pick
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +128%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
1-2
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Sebat Gençlik SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebat Gençlik SK nicked a narrow win over Bursa Nilüfer FK 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Sebat Gençlik SK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bursa Nilüfer FK had 54% of the ball to Sebat Gençlik SK's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-2 Sebat Gençlik SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bursa Nilüfer FK win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Bursa Nilüfer FK 33%, draw 33%, Sebat Gençlik SK 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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