Niğde Belediyesi Spor 2-0 Denizlispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
12%
2-3
53%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
3%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niğde Belediyesi Spor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Denizlispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niğde Belediyesi Spor saw off Denizlispor 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Niğde Belediyesi Spor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Denizlispor?

Niğde Belediyesi Spor 2-0 Denizlispor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Denizlispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niğde Belediyesi Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Niğde Belediyesi Spor 48%, draw 21%, Denizlispor 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niğde Belediyesi Spor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niğde Belediyesi Spor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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