Arnavutköy Belediye 1-3 Serik Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 50%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.09/1.00
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
1-3
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Serik Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor saw off Arnavutköy Belediye 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Serik Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 53% of the ball to Serik Belediyespor's 47%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Serik Belediyespor?

Arnavutköy Belediye 1-3 Serik Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Serik Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 30%, draw 24%, Serik Belediyespor 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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