Erbaaspor 1-0 Diyarbekir Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 15 Dec 2024

Erbaaspor
1-0 HT 1-0
Diyarbekir Spor
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup – 2024/2025

Erbaaspor vs Diyarbekir Spor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erbaaspor v Diyarbekir Spor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 18%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.00
-42% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Diyarbekir Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor nicked a narrow win over Diyarbekir Spor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Erbaaspor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Diyarbekir Spor?

Erbaaspor 1-0 Diyarbekir Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Diyarbekir Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 49%, draw 28%, Diyarbekir Spor 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbaaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erbaaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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