Ben Guerdane vs Etoile Du Sahel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ben Guerdane v Etoile Du Sahel — Team-Based Signals
Ben Guerdane vs Etoile Du Sahel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Etoile Du Sahel
TUN1A
1-0
HT 0-0
Ben Guerdane
TUN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Etoile Du Sahel
TUN1
2-0
HT 0-0
Ben Guerdane
TUN
3-0
HT 1-0
Ben Guerdane
TUN
1-5
HT 1-1
Etoile Du Sahel
TUN
Etoile Du Sahel beat Ben Guerdane 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Etoile Du Sahel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Ben Guerdane and 1.83 for Etoile Du Sahel.
What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs Etoile Du Sahel?
Ben Guerdane 1-3 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs Etoile Du Sahel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 36%, draw 30%, Etoile Du Sahel 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.