Monastir 4-1 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.2pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.6pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.38/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/2.00
-12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -29%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
378 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
4W-1D-1L
AWAY US Tataouine
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Monastir Monastir 3-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1B
17.09.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 2-2 HT 0-1 Monastir Monastir TUN1B
27.05.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-4 HT 0-3 Monastir Monastir TUN
02.03.2023 Monastir Monastir 1-0 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN
05.05.2021 US Tataouine US Tataouine 3-1 HT 1-1 Monastir Monastir TUN1
30.01.2021 Monastir Monastir 4-0 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monastir
4-1
AWAY US Tataouine
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Monastir vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir ran out comfortable winners over US Tataouine 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monastir had 70% of the ball to US Tataouine's 30%, shots finished 21-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monastir had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Monastir and 0.83 for US Tataouine.

What was the final score of Monastir vs US Tataouine?

Monastir 4-1 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Monastir 64%, draw 24%, US Tataouine 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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