Rukh Vynnyky 1-3 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.44/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.23
-11% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
2 Corners 8
11.08.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-4 HT 0-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
11.05.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
06.11.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-2 HT 1-1 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Rukh Vynnyky vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Obolon Kyiv saw off Rukh Vynnyky 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Rukh Vynnyky carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rukh Vynnyky had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rukh Vynnyky and 0.67 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Rukh Vynnyky vs Obolon Kyiv?

Rukh Vynnyky 1-3 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rukh Vynnyky vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rukh Vynnyky 57%, draw 28%, Obolon Kyiv 15%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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