Polessya 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
50%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+5.8pp
31%
Draw
20%
+11.1pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-16.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 71%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/0.67
+150% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.08.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
24.11.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya squeezed past Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polessya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Polessya and 0.00 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Polessya 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Polessya 19%, draw 31%, Shakhtar Donetsk 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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