Crotone 2-0 Casarano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2025

📅15/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.9pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Casarano EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.77/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/4.97
+4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -70%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-0
AWAY Casarano
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Casarano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone got the better of Casarano 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 48% of the ball to Casarano's 52%, shots finished 8-4.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Casarano?

Crotone 2-0 Casarano in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Casarano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Crotone 61%, draw 21%, Casarano 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
15 Dec 2025
22:30 Arezzo vs Pineto Analysis →
22:30 Vis Pesaro vs Ravenna Analysis →
22:30 Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli Analysis →