Arezzo 3-3 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2025

📅15/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.6pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.50/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.43
-12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Pineto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.01.2025 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 1-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
07.09.2024 Pineto Pineto 3-1 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
17.03.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-3 HT 1-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
12.11.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
3-3
AWAY Pineto
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 11
17 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo and Pineto shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Arezzo carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Arezzo had 65% of the ball to Pineto's 35%, shots finished 25-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pineto led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arezzo and 2.00 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Pineto?

Arezzo 3-3 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 56%, draw 28%, Pineto 16%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arezzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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