Pineto 3-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.92
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.24/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.29
+12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-3 HT 1-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
12.11.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
3-1
AWAY Arezzo
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 10
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto saw off Arezzo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Pineto made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pineto had 44% of the ball to Arezzo's 56%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pineto and 2.00 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Arezzo?

Pineto 3-1 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pineto 33%, draw 30%, Arezzo 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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