Alcione 0-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.93
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 38% vs market 34.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.4pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.9pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.85
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
0-1
AWAY Renate
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate edged past Alcione 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Renate made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Alcione had 64% of the ball to Renate's 36%, shots finished 11-3.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Renate?

Alcione 0-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Alcione 32%, draw 34%, Renate 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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