Lecco 1-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.49/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.82
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-1
AWAY Lumezzane
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco and Lumezzane shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lecco at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lecco had 49% of the ball to Lumezzane's 51%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Lumezzane?

Lecco 1-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lecco 45%, draw 27%, Lumezzane 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lecco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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