Picerno 0-0 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.45
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +30%
1.28/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.93
-2% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Casertana
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
08.12.2023 Picerno Picerno 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
02.02.2020 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
22.09.2019 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
28.07.2018 Casertana Casertana 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
0-0
AWAY Casertana
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno and Casertana played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Picerno at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Picerno had 57% of the ball to Casertana's 43%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Picerno and 1.20 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Casertana?

Picerno 0-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Picerno 44%, draw 26%, Casertana 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Picerno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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