Pineto 1-3 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Mar 2024

Pineto
1-3 HT 1-2
Arezzo
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Pineto vs Arezzo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.17
2-3 Goals
47%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.78
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pineto v Arezzo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.47/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.09
+26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Pineto vs Arezzo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arezzo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC

Pineto 1-3 Arezzo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-3
AWAY Arezzo
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo saw off Pineto 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Arezzo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pineto had 54% of the ball to Arezzo's 46%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Arezzo?

Pineto 1-3 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pineto 35%, draw 28%, Arezzo 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5
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