Ancona 1905 1-1 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
5.12
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ancona 1905 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.80/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.17
-28% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ancona 1905
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-0 HT 0-0 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
26.03.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 0-1 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
26.11.2022 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 1-1 HT 0-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ancona 1905
1-1
AWAY Sassari Torres
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ancona 1905 vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ancona 1905 and Sassari Torres couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ancona 1905 had 38% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 62%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ancona 1905 and 1.00 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Ancona 1905 vs Sassari Torres?

Ancona 1905 1-1 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ancona 1905 vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ancona 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ancona 1905 37%, draw 29%, Sassari Torres 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ancona 1905), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ancona 1905) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
17 Mar 2024
16:00 Olbia 1905 vs Recanatese Analysis →
16:00 Pineto vs Arezzo Analysis →
16:00 Pro Sesto vs Triestina Analysis →
18:15 Gubbio vs Perugia Analysis →
20:30 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Trento AC Analysis →
20:30 Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla Analysis →