Casertana 2-0 Virtus Francavilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.77
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Francavilla EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.26/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.39
-14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Virtus Francavilla
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 2-3 HT 2-2 Casertana Casertana İTC
03.03.2021 Casertana Casertana 4-0 HT 4-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
08.11.2020 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 1-3 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
19.01.2020 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
08.09.2019 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
2-0
AWAY Virtus Francavilla
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana saw off Virtus Francavilla 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Casertana had 46% of the ball to Virtus Francavilla's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for Virtus Francavilla.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla?

Casertana 2-0 Virtus Francavilla in the Italy - Serie C on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Casertana 48%, draw 30%, Virtus Francavilla 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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