Olbia 1905 4-1 Recanatese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Recanatese EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.02/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.81
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olbia 1905
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Recanatese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Recanatese Recanatese 4-1 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
06.04.2023 Recanatese Recanatese 2-3 HT 1-1 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
03.12.2022 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-1 HT 0-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olbia 1905
4-1
AWAY Recanatese
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Olbia 1905 vs Recanatese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olbia 1905 cruised past Recanatese 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Olbia 1905 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Olbia 1905 had 39% of the ball to Recanatese's 61%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olbia 1905 and 2.33 for Recanatese.

What was the final score of Olbia 1905 vs Recanatese?

Olbia 1905 4-1 Recanatese in the Italy - Serie C on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olbia 1905 vs Recanatese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olbia 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Olbia 1905 40%, draw 28%, Recanatese 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olbia 1905), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olbia 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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