Pro Sesto 0-1 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 36% vs market 34.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Sesto EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
0.85/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.00
-23% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Sesto
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Triestina
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
05.02.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-2 HT 0-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
09.10.2022 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 2-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
05.02.2022 Triestina Triestina 2-3 HT 2-3 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
29.09.2021 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 0-1 HT 0-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Sesto
0-1
AWAY Triestina
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Sesto vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina nicked a narrow win over Pro Sesto 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Triestina as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Pro Sesto had 58% of the ball to Triestina's 42%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pro Sesto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Pro Sesto and 0.80 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Pro Sesto vs Triestina?

Pro Sesto 0-1 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Sesto vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pro Sesto 28%, draw 29%, Triestina 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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