Arezzo 1-2 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.47/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.31
-7% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Pineto
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
07.09.2024 Pineto Pineto 3-1 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
17.03.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-3 HT 1-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
12.11.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-2
AWAY Pineto
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto edged past Arezzo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arezzo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arezzo had 59% of the ball to Pineto's 41%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pineto led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arezzo and 2.00 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Pineto?

Arezzo 1-2 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 45%, draw 31%, Pineto 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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