Padova Calcio 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.69/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.90
-3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-4 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
24.02.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 4-0 HT 2-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
21.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
12.03.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
06.11.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
06.10.2019 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-1
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
69% Ball Possession 31%
26 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio and Arzignano Valchiampo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 69% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 31%, shots finished 26-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.67 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Padova Calcio 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 54%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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