Ascoli 0-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
13%
5.79
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.7pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 42%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.00/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.03
-100% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Virtus Entella
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 362
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.09.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
06.03.2021 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
22.11.2020 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
08.03.2020 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-0 HT 3-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
25.10.2019 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 2-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
31.05.2018 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella edged past Ascoli 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Virtus Entella made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Ascoli had 56% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ascoli and 1.17 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Virtus Entella?

Ascoli 0-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 31%, draw 29%, Virtus Entella 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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