Catania 1-2 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.27/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.22
-21% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventus II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Juventus II Juventus II 1-3 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-2
AWAY Juventus II
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catania vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II edged past Catania 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Catania had 61% of the ball to Juventus II's 39%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Catania vs Juventus II?

Catania 1-2 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Catania 53%, draw 26%, Juventus II 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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