Arzignano Valchiampo 1-4 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
5.57
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
0.91/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.83
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 4-0 HT 2-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
21.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
12.03.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
06.11.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
06.10.2019 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-4
AWAY Padova Calcio
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio cruised past Arzignano Valchiampo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 52% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 48%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 2.20 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Padova Calcio?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-4 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 31%, draw 28%, Padova Calcio 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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