Pro Vercelli 0-1 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.48
Over 2.5
48%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.75
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.03/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.44
-6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
3W-1D-2L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 3-0 HT 2-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
17.02.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-3 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
15.10.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-3 HT 1-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
27.02.2022 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
21.10.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 1-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
27.02.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-2 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
0-1
AWAY GIANA Erminio
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio squeezed past Pro Vercelli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; GIANA Erminio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 40% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 60%, shots finished 5-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.83 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs GIANA Erminio?

Pro Vercelli 0-1 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 35%, draw 27%, GIANA Erminio 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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