SPAL vs Lucchese Prediction — Model Probabilities
SPAL v Lucchese — Team-Based Signals
SPAL vs Lucchese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
SPAL 2-3 Lucchese — Actual Match Statistics
Lucchese found just enough to beat SPAL 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
Our pre-match lean was SPAL at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 58% to 42% in SPAL's favour, shots finished 19-13.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lucchese led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for SPAL against 1.33 for Lucchese.
SPAL vs Lucchese Result & Final Score
SPAL 2 - 3 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
SPAL vs Lucchese Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SPAL 46%, draw 30%, Lucchese 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.