SPAL vs Lucchese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SPAL v Lucchese — Team-Based Signals
SPAL vs Lucchese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Lucchese
İTCK
2-2
HT 1-1
Lucchese
İTC
1-2
HT 1-1
Lucchese
İTC
3-0
HT 1-0
Lucchese
İTC
2-0
HT 2-0
Lucchese
İTC
SPAL 2-3 Lucchese — Actual Match Statistics
Lucchese edged past SPAL 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was SPAL at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SPAL had 58% of the ball to Lucchese's 42%, shots finished 19-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lucchese led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SPAL and 1.33 for Lucchese.
What was the final score of SPAL vs Lucchese?
SPAL 2-3 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SPAL vs Lucchese?
Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SPAL 42%, draw 26%, Lucchese 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.