Lucchese 2-1 SPAL — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Italy - Serie C, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.08
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.28
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
15%
5.28
6+
3%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
2%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lucchese The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY SPAL The Market 29%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.28 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
2W-1D-2L
AWAY SPAL
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 SPAL SPAL 0-2 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTCK
11.10.2023 SPAL SPAL 2-2 HT 1-1 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
23.09.2023 SPAL SPAL 1-2 HT 1-1 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
06.09.2015 SPAL SPAL 3-0 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
28.09.2014 SPAL SPAL 2-0 HT 2-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
2 - 1
AWAY SPAL
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Lucchese vs SPAL
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lucchese edged past SPAL 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lucchese as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Lucchese's favour, shots finished 10-6.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for Lucchese against 1.60 for SPAL.

Lucchese vs SPAL Result & Final Score

Lucchese 2 - 1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lucchese vs SPAL Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 45%, draw 30%, SPAL 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucchese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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